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Traders increasingly confident of ECB pause until year-end

Money markets now price in less than a 25% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut when the ECB meets next on September 11

International News via Reuters:

Traders grew more convinced on Thursday that the European Central Bank will hold rates after the summer as the bank’s relatively upbeat assessment of the economic outlook and signs an EU-U.S. trade deal is near reduced bets on further cuts.

Money markets now price in less than a 25% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut when the ECB meets next on September 11.

That’s down from close to 50% on Wednesday, before news broke that the European Union and the United States were heading towards a deal that would result in a broad tariff of 15% applying to EU goods.

The ECB, which kept rates on hold on Thursday after eight cuts over the last year that halved its policy rate to 2%, fuelled those moves further.

Traders also reduced bets on another rate cut by the end of the year following ECB President Christine Lagarde’s comments and now see a roughly 70% chance of a move by December, having nearly fully priced it in last week.

Before the ECB’s press conference they had seen an October move as a coin toss.

At the central bank’s post-meeting news conference, Lagarde stressed the ECB was in a “good place” to hold policy and watch how risks develop in the coming months.

“Perhaps it was the lack of the use of the word ‘pause’ and she (Lagarde) described rates as on hold and decision by decision,” said UBS Wealth Management economist Dean Turner.

Two-year German bond yields, sensitive to interest rate expectations, rose as much as 11 bps to 1.91%, and were eyeing their biggest one-day jump since May.

Germany’s 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro area, was up similarly.

The euro reversed most of an earlier fall against the dollar and was last flat at around $1.1776

European shares slightly pared gains and were last up 0.2%.

Lagarde playing down ECB forecasts showing inflation below target next year had also made her sound “a bit hawkish”, said Arne Petimezas, director of research at AFS Group.

A 15% tariff would be only half the 30% rate U.S. President Donald Trump had threatened to impose on the EU earlier in July. If it materialises it also takes out the ECB’s worst case scenario of a 20% tariff.

Indeed, two sources told Reuters policymakers are setting a high bar for a September cut and would need to see a significant deterioration in growth and inflation before backing further easing.

CUT OR HIKE?

But with no certainty on the final tariff outcome, the policy outlook remains uncertain.

Some investors remained sceptical that a 15% tariff rate improved the euro zone outlook materially.

“Unlike Japan, the relationship between Europe and the U.S. is more complicated as it also includes a security angle,” said Salman Ahmed, global head of macro and strategic asset allocation at Fidelity International, who expects more rate cuts to shield the bloc’s economy.

How much the euro rises from here was also key, as its appreciation hurts exporters and – according to Lagarde – makes it harder for firms to invest.

The euro surged nearly 17% from February to early July, hitting its highest since 2021 around $1.18, prompting the ECB’s vice president to signal $1.20 as a pain point.

It is not too far off those levels now.

If trade uncertainty fades, the ECB may not need to cut rates again and the focus is likely to shift to the timing of a rate hike, analysts said.

Traders price in a roughly 30% chance of a rate hike in the second half of 2026, LSEG data shows, with German fiscal stimulus expected to start supporting the bloc’s economy.

“Markets are not far away from switching focus from the last cut to the first hike,” said Deutsche Bank’s chief European economist Mark Wall.

Reporting by Lucy Raitano, Dhara Ranasinghe, Naomi Rovnick and Yoruk Bahceli in London and Danilo Masoni in Milan; Editing by Amanda Cooper, Dhara Ranasinghe and Susan Fenton

Pink ferry still offline for repairs

The route will not resume operations tomorrow as previously scheduled

Government press release:

The Ministry of Tourism & Transport, Culture & Sport advises that the Pink Ferry Route, which services the Paget and Warwick communities, will not resume operations on July 25, 2025, as previously scheduled.

This essential route has faced ongoing mechanical challenges due to the aging fleet. The Department of Marine and Ports is actively working to complete necessary repairs.

Several components require custom machining, which has extended repair timelines despite accelerated efforts. The Ministry remains committed to restoring service as soon as possible, and we will keep the public informed as repair work progresses.

Hulk Hogan, who helped turn pro wrestling into billion-dollar spectacle, dies at 71

Hogan parlayed his wrestling fame into a less successful career in Hollywood

International News via Reuters:

Hulk Hogan, the American sports and entertainment star who made professional wrestling a global phenomenon and loudly supported Donald Trump for president, has died at the age of 71, World Wrestling Entertainment said on Thursday.

“WWE is saddened to learn WWE Hall of Famer Hulk Hogan has passed away. One of pop culture’s most recognizable figures, Hogan helped WWE achieve global recognition in the 1980s,” WWE said on X. It gave no cause of death.

The bleach-blond, mahogany-tanned behemoth became the face of professional wrestling in the 1980s, helping transform the mock combat from a seedy spectacle into family-friendly entertainment worth billions of dollars.

A key moment in that evolution came at the WrestleMania III extravaganza in 1987, when Hogan hoisted fellow wrestler André the Giant before a sold-out Pontiac Silverdome in Michigan for a thunderous body slam of the Frenchman.

Hogan parlayed his wrestling fame into a less successful career in Hollywood, starring in films like “Rocky III” and “Santa With Muscles,” but kept returning to the ring as long as his body would allow.

In 2024, he appeared at the Republican National Convention to endorse the presidential bid of Trump, who in the 1980s had played host to Hulk-headlined WrestleManias. Hogan said he made the decision to support the Republican candidate after seeing his combative, fist-pumping reaction to an attempted assassination on the campaign trail.

“Let Trumpamania run wild, brother!” Hogan bellowed to a cheering crowd, ripping off his shirt to reveal a Trump tank top. “Let Trumpamania rule again!”

BECOMING ‘HULK’

Born Terry Gene Bollea in Augusta, Georgia, on Aug. 11, 1953, the future Hulk and his family soon moved to the Tampa, Florida area. After high school, he played bass guitar for area rock bands, but felt a pull to the red-hot wrestling scene in Florida in the 1970s.

Many of the details of his career were showbusiness exaggerations, representative of the blurred lines between fact and fiction in wrestling.

His first trainer reportedly broke Hogan’s leg to dissuade him from entering the business, but he kept at wrestling, weight training, and – he later admitted – anabolic steroids. He gained in notoriety as his biceps turned into what he dubbed the “24-inch pythons.”

The “Hulk” moniker came from comparisons to the comic-book hero portrayed on TV at the time. He would end up paying royalties to Marvel Comics for years. “Hogan” was the invention of promoter Vincent J. McMahon, the owner of the World Wrestling Federation (WWF), who wanted Irish representation among his stable of stars.

His appearance as wrestler Thunderlips in “Rocky III,” where he dwarfed leading man Sylvester Stallone, rocketed Hogan to the mainstream. Upon a return to the WWF, now controlled by McMahon’s son Vincent K., he defeated the Iron Sheik in 1984 to claim the world championship, a belt he would hold for four years.

Hogan became a household name, appearing on the cover of magazine Sports Illustrated and performing alongside pop culture stars like Mr. T. The WWF came to dominate wrestling, anchored by its annual WrestleMania pay-per-view events.

FACING ‘THE ROCK’

Later, he joined competitor World Championship Wrestling, swapping his trademark yellow tights for black and taking on a persona as the villainous “Hollywood” Hogan, the head of a gang of rulebreakers known as the New World Order. The gimmick reinvigorated his career.

Hogan eventually returned to the WWF, now known as WWE, and faced Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson at WrestleMania in 2002.

“I’m in better shape than him,” Hogan told Reuters at the time, five months shy of his 50th birthday. “I’ll stand next to The Rock and pose down with him if he wants to.” The Rock ultimately won the match.

Hogan was inducted twice into the WWE Hall of Fame, and referred to himself as the “Babe Ruth” of wrestling – after the New York Yankees’ famed baseball player.

But Hogan’s support of Trump in 2024 did not go down well with all wrestling fans, and he also faced other controversies. Gossip website Gawker was shuttered after it posted parts of a sex tape between him and a friend’s wife and Hogan sued on privacy grounds, winning a $140 million judgment.

In 2015, he was suspended by the WWE after another surreptitious recording revealed that Hogan had used a racial slur. He was reinstated in 2018.

He was married three times and had two children, who starred alongside him and first wife Linda in a 2005-2007 reality TV show, “Hogan Knows Best.”

Reporting by Rocky Swift in Tokyo, additional reporting by Bhargav Acharya and Ryan Patrick Jones in Toronto, Editing by Rosalba O’Brien and Olivier Holmey

Happening now: traffic diversions due to crash in Smith’s

Update from police, 6:35pm: The roadway has now been reopened to regular traffic flow.

Press release from the police:
Please be advised there has been a serious road traffic collision, involving two motorcycles near the junction of Knapton Hill and South Road, Smith’s.
The roadway will remain closed while the collision scene is processed.
Eastbound raffic is being diverted onto St. Marks Road at its junction with South Road. Westbound traffic is being allowed over Knapton Hill onto South Road.
Motorists are urged to approach these locations with caution. 

Senior arrested for knife possession following dispute on Front Street

Acting Detective Superintendent Derricka Burns thanked members of the public for their assistance in averting a “potentially tragic situation.”

A senior was arrested and detained early this morning for knife possession outside a popular night club.


Police said they responded to a fight between two men outside Front Yard on Front Street at 3am today. A 61-year -old man was found holding a large knife.

It was seized by police and the suspect was arrested and due before the courts.


Acting Detective Superintendent Derricka Burns thanked members of the public for their assistance in averting a “potentially tragic situation.”


She warned against people carrying dangerous weapons in public places stating that they, “pose a threat to not only other members of the public, but also themselves, as they face having the weapon taken away and used against them by their intended target, or by being targeted for retaliation.”


She suggested that if anyone feels threatened, do not arm yourself, report your concern to someone in authority.
Meanwhile a 19 year old woman was arrested following a chase through the City just after midnigth on Tuesday.

Police said the rider failed to stop at a sign near Stow Hill junction and ignored officers signal to pull over.

She continued traveling towards Hamilton via Crow Lane, disobeying several traffic signs, red lights and rode in the opposite direction of a one-way street.


According to a police spokesperson, the rider was eventually apprehended and arrested for dangerous driving following a brief foot chase. A test showed she was over the legal blood alcohol limit.

The matter is now before the Department of Public Prosecutions for charges to be approved.

BBC Radio News: Thursday Evening – 24 July 2025

Senior arrested on Front Street for knife possession, police renew witness appeal for the 2017 murder of Jahcari Francis, petitioners call for Parsons Lane to become a one-way street following fatal traffic incident plus all the latest sports news

New flags commemorate emancipation

The new Cup Match themed flags, launched by CURB, symbolize both celebration and remembrance

Media release:

Citizens Uprooting Racism in Bermuda (CURB) is proud to announce the release of a new commemorative flag in honour of Bermuda’s Emancipation and the historic Cup Match holiday. This flag is designed to not only celebrate the beloved holiday but also highlight its deeper meaning; Bermuda’s journey to freedom and the legacy of abolitionist Mary Prince.

Bermudians know how to celebrate. Our holidays are vibrant, joyous, and full of life. Yet, amidst the fun, we often overlook the importance of commemoration. At CURB, especially during Cup Match, we believe it’s essential to reflect on the origins and purpose of this uniquely Bermudian celebration.

Cup Match is far more than a cricket match. It represents unity, culture, resilience, and the recognition of our freedom. This year, CURB is excited to unveil a flag that symbolizes both celebration and remembrance.

The flag incorporates the traditional Cup Match colours while featuring:

  • A silhouette of Mary Prince with a broken chain, representing her fight for freedom and her powerful role in Bermuda’s emancipation.
  • A cricketer, celebrating the spirit of the game and the holiday that brings the island together.

“We envision this flag flying proudly across Bermuda, at Cup Match campsites, on cars, and in homes, as a powerful reminder of our shared history and our vibrant culture.

Flags are now available for purchase for $20 at the CURB office, located at 26 Bermudiana Road, International Centre.  Please email admin@uprootingracism.org or call 7071496 to confirm your order.

As we prepare for this year’s Cup Match, CURB invites all Bermudians to both celebrate and commemorate, to honour our ancestors, acknowledge our history, and embrace the community spirit that defines this special time of year.

ECB keeps rates steady as it awaits clarity over trade

The ECB cut its policy rate to 2% last month, half its level of a year earlier

International News via Reuters:

The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday after cutting eight times in a year, biding its time while Brussels and Washington try to negotiate a trade deal that could ease persistent uncertainty over tariffs.

Financial markets scaled back bets on future easing, however as ECB President Christine Lagarde delivered what was viewed as an overall upbeat assessment of the region’s economic outlook.

The ECB cut its policy rate to 2% last month, half its level of a year earlier, after taming a surge in prices that followed the end of the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

With inflation now back at the ECB’s 2% goal and expected to stay there, policymakers chose to stay put on Thursday, just as trade talks between the European Union and United States appeared to be in their final stretch. Reports have suggested a possible deal based on a 15% tariff on U.S. imports of EU goods.

“We are attentive to where the negotiations are heading (but) we take the news one day at a time,” Lagarde told a press conference.

“The sooner this trade uncertainty is resolved, the less uncertainty we will have to deal with and that will be welcomed by many economic actors including ourselves.”

While the White House has dismissed the reports as speculation, 15% tariffs would be roughly halfway between the ECB’s baseline and severe scenarios for the euro zone economy, presented last month, but milder than Trump’s threatened 30%.

The ECB’s June estimate showed that higher U.S. tariffs would result in lower growth and – depending on any EU retaliation – lower medium-term inflation in the euro zone.

Even the ECB’s baseline projection from June, which incorporates 10% tariffs from the United States, saw price growth below 2% over the next 18 months.

Lagarde acknowledged that scenario did include the possibility of a temporary undershooting of the inflation target but said it was not a cause for concern.

“We are in a good place because our projections point to inflation stabilising at targets in the medium term,” she said, noting that supply bottlenecks and trade disruption caused by tariffs could also emerge as inflationary.

That upbeat assessment pushed short-dated German bond yields to their largest daily rise in two months as traders took it as a signal that another series of rate cuts next year might be unlikely.

Underlining the uncertainty, economists commenting on the meeting’s outcome offered markedly divergent views on the way forward, with some seeing scope for further cuts and others suggesting the ECB’s next move could even be a hike.

The euro zone economy is showing some tentative signs of acceleration but growth remains modest. Companies, while still optimistic about an upturn ahead, report starting to feel the pinch from tariffs on their profits.

On the bright side, euro zone banks have seen rising loan demand and policy uncertainty has not yet translated into an economic or market downturn.

After a short-lived selloff in April, investors have taken the trade turmoil in their stride, with European equity indices close to new highs, thanks also to Germany’s newly found appetite for spending.

In fact, erratic policy-making in the United States, including Trump’s relentless criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, has lured foreign investors to euro zone assets. That briefly pushed the euro to its highest level against the dollar since September 2021 – $1.1829 – earlier this month.

ECB board member and outspoken hawk Isabel Schnabel has even said the central bank should watch out for price hikes caused by tariffs and that the bar for further cuts was “very high”.

But the euro’s appreciation has unnerved other policymakers, who fear a stronger currency would make European exports less competitive and contribute to pushing down inflation.

Lagarde on Thursday repeated the ECB’s official line that it monitors the exchange rate closely but does not target a level for the euro.

Editing by Toby Chopra, Tomasz Janowski and Catherine Evans

Narraway continues Vuelta a Castilla y León Challenge in Spain

Cycling: Bermudian Narraway continues to make his mark on the UCI Europe Tour

Bermudian cyclist Nicholas Narraway is continuing his demanding campaign on the European circuit, representing Tenerife-BikePoint-LaSedeBycicles in the Vuelta a Castilla y León cycle race in Spain.

Following a solid performance in the opening 3.8-kilometre time trial, Narraway tackled Stage Two, a 156.0-kilometre road race from Santa Marta de Tormés to Cuéllar.

Narraway finished 82nd in this stage, clocking a time of 3 hours, 13 minutes, and 21 seconds. He crossed the line 2 minutes and 19 seconds behind the stage winner, Spain’s Estelrich Mateu, who recorded a time of 3 hours, 11 minutes, and 2 seconds. Mateu, a Spanish rider for Supermercados Froiz, secured a notable victory in this stage.

Narraway’s continued participation in this UCI Europe Tour event provides invaluable experience against strong European riders in a multi-stage format that tests both individual time trial ability and road race endurance. With four more stages remaining in the Vuelta a Castilla y León, Narraway will be looking to build on his performances and further improve his overall standings as the race unfolds.

Scatteraction sails to victory in thrilling Wednesday Night Series

Sailing: Scatteraction crosses the line first on Wednesday night

The Wednesday Night Sailing Series continued its vibrant run on the North Shore this week, with 25 boats battling it out for Race Day 15 honours. The evening proved a keen display of tactical sailing, where “corrected time” was once again the decisive factor in determining the final standings.

Scatteraction was the first boat across the line with an elapsed time of 1 hour, 20 minutes, and 44 seconds (1:20:44). However, it was their calculated corrected time of 1 hour, 16 minutes, and 24 seconds (1:16:24) that ultimately secured them a well-deserved victory.

Airforce followed closely, finishing second on corrected time with 1 hour, 16 minutes, and 49 seconds (1:16:49), after an elapsed time of 1:21:10. Menace rounded out the podium, securing third with a corrected time of 1 hour, 17 minutes, and 11 seconds (1:17:11).

The top five was completed by Tiburon (1:17:14 corrected time) and Solna II (1:17:19 corrected time). These incredibly close finishes underscore the competitive nature of the Wednesday Night Sailing Series, where precision and strategy are paramount.

Britain and India sign free trade pact during Modi visit

It is Britain’s biggest trade deal since it left the European Union in 2020

International News via Reuters:

Britain and India signed a free trade agreement on Thursday during a visit by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, sealing a deal to cut tariffs on goods from textiles to whisky and cars and allow more market access for businesses.

Talks on the trade pact were concluded in May after three years of stop-start negotiations, with both sides hastening efforts to clinch a deal in the shadow of tariff turmoil unleashed by U.S. President Donald Trump.

The agreement between the world’s fifth and sixth largest economies aims to increase bilateral trade by a further 25.5 billion pounds ($34 billion) by 2040. 

It is Britain’s biggest trade deal since it left the European Union in 2020 but its impact will be a fraction of the effect of leaving the orbit of its closest trading partner.

It is India’s biggest strategic partnership with an advanced economy, and it could provide a template for a long-mooted deal with the EU and for talks with other regions.

Both sides hailed as historic a deal which will take effect following a ratification process, likely within a year, after which firms such as whisky distiller Diageo and carmakers including BMW, Nissan, Aston Martin and Tata-owned Jaguar Land Rover could benefit from lower duties.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said there would be huge benefits for both countries, making trade cheaper, quicker and easier.

“We’ve entered a new global era, and that is one that requires us to step up, not to stand aside… by building deeper partnerships and alliances,” Starmer said in a statement next to Modi at his Chequers country residence.

Modi called the agreement “a blueprint for our shared prosperity,” highlighting how Indian goods from textiles to jewelry and seafood would secure better market access.

The countries also agreed a partnership covering areas such as defence and climate, and aim to strengthen co-operation on tackling crime. Modi spent nearly three hours with Starmer before going to meet King Charles at his Sandringham Estate.

WHISKY AND CARS

Under the trade agreement, tariffs on Scotch whisky will drop to 75% from 150% immediately, and slide to 40% over the next decade. Tariffs on drinks such as brandy and rum will be cut to 110% initially and end up at 75%.

On cars, India will cut duties to 10% within five years from current levels of up to 110% under a quota system that will be gradually liberalised.

In return, Indian manufacturers will gain access to the British market for electric and hybrid vehicles, also under a quota system. 

Under the deal, 99% of Indian exports to Britain will benefit from zero duties, including textiles, and Britain will have reductions on 90% of its tariff lines, with the average tariff UK firms face dropping to 3% from 15%.

But the projected boost to British economic output, of 4.8 billion pounds a year by 2040, is small compared to Britain’s gross domestic product of 2.6 trillion pounds in 2024. 

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has forecast that UK exports and imports will be about 15% lower in the long run than if Britain had stayed in the EU.

Britain’s Labour government, in power for a year, has launched a reset of ties with the EU to smooth trade friction and won some tariff relief from the United States.

“In an era of rising protectionism, today’s announcement sends a powerful signal,” said Rain Newton-Smith, chief executive of the Confederation of British Industry.

The Confederation of Indian Industry called it a “strong foundation for deeper market access.”

The deal will facilitate easier access for temporary business visitors although visas are not covered. The sides also agreed that workers will no longer have to make social security contributions in both India and Britain while on temporary postings to the other.

British firms will be able to access India’s procurement market for projects in sectors such as clean energy, and the trade deal also covers services sectors such as insurance.

India did not manage to secure an exemption from Britain’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism – which could levy higher taxes on polluters from 2027 – as part of the deal.

Reporting by Alistair Smout in London and Manoj Kumar in New Delhi; additional reporting by Muvija M in Luton and Aditi Shah in New Delhi; editing by Philippa Fletcher

Bermuda Triangle Cup kicks off with goal fest

Football: Up and coming talent took centre stage at the National Sports Centre

The 2025 Bermuda Triangle Cup burst into action at the National Sports Center, delivering a thrilling double-header that saw eight goals scored across two captivating matches.

In the opener, the Bermuda Brazilian Football School Select secured a solid 2-0 victory over the National Academy Under 17 Select. Xave Smith opened the scoring in the 36th minute, with Jahzion Taylor doubling their lead in the 60th, ensuring a comfortable win and a clean sheet.

Following this, Premier League giants Everton FC showcased their class against the National Academy Under 15 Select, clinching a commanding 6-0 victory. Ray Robert netted twice early on, followed by goals from Malik Olayiwola and a brace from Jonathan Nsangou, giving Everton a dominant 5-0 halftime lead. The National Academy Under 15 Select showed resilience in the second half, restricting Everton to just one more goal, scored by Jake Doughty.

The opening day provided valuable experience for the young Bermudian academy sides against strong international and local opposition.